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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, ALP sitting MPs - Vic

Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Catherine King (ALP) (sitting MP) Ballarat (4.9) Provincial 41.9 34.3 7.6 4.0 54.9 -7.2
2 Jenny Macklin (ALP) (sitting MP) Jagajaga (3.1) Outer Metro 38.0 30.6 7.4 3.8 53.1 -8.1
3 Anna Burke (ALP) (sitting MP) Chisholm (1.6) Inner Metro 39.5 32.3 7.2 3.6 51.6 -3.6
4 Kelvin Thomson (ALP) (sitting MP) Wills (15.2) Inner Metro 45.1 38.8 6.4 2.8 0.0 NA
5 Michael Danby (ALP) (sitting MP) Melbourne Ports (3.6) Inner Metro 31.7 25.9 5.8 2.2 53.6 -2.6
6 Rob Mitchell (ALP) (sitting MP) McEwen (0.2) Rural 37.6 34.9 2.8 1.7 50.2 -9.1
7 Bill Shorten (ALP) (sitting MP) Maribyrnong (11.4) Outer Metro 47.9 43.5 4.4 0.8 61.4 -5.5
8 Mark Dreyfus (ALP) (sitting MP) Isaacs (3.8) Outer Metro 41.3 37.0 4.3 0.7 53.8 -6.4
9 Alan Griffin (ALP) (sitting MP) Bruce (1.8) Outer Metro 41.9 37.7 4.2 0.6 51.8 -5.8
10 Anthony Byrne (ALP) (sitting MP) Holt (9.1) Outer Metro 48.2 44.8 3.4 -0.2 59.1 -4.1
11 Mike Symon (ALP) (sitting MP) Deakin (3.2) [ch13] Outer Metro 32.7 29.3 3.4 -0.2 46.8 -3.3
12 Richard Marles (ALP) (sitting MP) Corio (7.8) Provincial 43.5 40.2 3.3 -0.3 57.8 -5.4
13 Darren Cheeseman (ALP) (sitting MP) Corangamite (3.9) [ch13] Provincial 32.0 28.9 3.1 -0.5 46.1 -4.1
14 Laura Smyth (ALP) (sitting MP) La Trobe (4.0) [ch13] Outer Metro 32.1 29.6 2.5 -1.1 46.0 -5.1
15 Maria Vamvakinou (ALP) (sitting MP) Calwell (13.8) Outer Metro 49.8 47.9 1.9 -1.7 63.8 -5.9
16 Brendan O'Connor (ALP) (sitting MP) Gorton (16.1) Outer Metro 50.7 49.9 0.9 -2.7 66.1 -6.9
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.