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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, ALP sitting MPs - Qld

Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Kevin Rudd (ALP) (sitting MP) Griffith (3.0) Outer Metro 40.4 33.2 7.2 4.1 53.0 -5.3
2 Shayne Neumann (ALP) (sitting MP) Blair (5.3) Rural 41.6 36.7 4.9 2.3 55.3 1.4
3 Wayne Swan (ALP) (sitting MP) Lilley (1.3) Inner Metro 40.2 35.0 5.3 2.2 51.3 -1.7
4 Yvette D'Ath (ALP) (sitting MP) Petrie (0.5) [ch13] Outer Metro 39.5 34.9 4.7 1.6 49.5 -3.1
5 Graham Perrett (ALP) (sitting MP) Moreton (1.6) Inner Metro 38.7 34.1 4.7 1.6 51.6 0.7
6 Bernie Ripoll (ALP) (sitting MP) Oxley (3.8) Outer Metro 43.1 40.0 3.1 0.0 53.8 -1.9
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.