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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, ALP sitting MPs - Tas

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Julie Collins (ALP) (sitting MP) Franklin (5.1) Outer Metro 39.9 34.0 5.9 3.5 55.1 -5.6
2 Sid Sidebottom (ALP) (sitting MP) Braddon (2.6) [ch13] Rural 37.6 32.0 5.6 2.9 47.4 -9.7
3 Dick Adams (ALP) (sitting MP) Lyons (1.2) [ch13] Rural 36.8 31.7 5.1 2.4 48.8 -13.5
4 Geoff Lyons (ALP) (sitting MP) Bass (4.0) [ch13] Provincial 34.7 30.8 3.9 1.5 46.0 -10.7
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.