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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, ALP sitting MPs - Australia

Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Tanya Plibersek (ALP) (sitting MP) Sydney (NSW) (14.7) Inner Metro 46.0 33.1 13.0 9.1 64.7 -1.7
2 Amanda Rishworth (ALP) (sitting MP) Kingston (SA) (9.7) Outer Metro 49.3 28.2 21.1 6.6 59.7 -4.4
3 Mike Kelly (ALP) (sitting MP) Eden-Monaro (NSW) (0.6) [ch13] Rural 38.8 29.3 9.5 6.3 49.4 -4.7
4 Janelle Saffin (ALP) (sitting MP) Page (NSW) (2.5) [ch13] Rural 38.8 29.7 9.1 5.9 47.5 -6.9
5 Anthony Albanese (ALP) (sitting MP) Grayndler (NSW) (20.3) Inner Metro 47.2 37.5 9.7 5.8 70.3 0.3
6 Tony Zappia (ALP) (sitting MP) Makin (SA) (5.1) Outer Metro 45.6 25.5 20.1 5.6 55.1 -6.7
7 Andrew Leigh (ALP) (sitting MP) Fraser (ACT) (12.6) Inner Metro 44.7 35.2 9.4 5.2 62.6 -1.3
8 Michelle Rowland (ALP) (sitting MP) Greenway (NSW) (3.0) Outer Metro 44.5 35.9 8.6 4.7 53.0 2.9
9 Kate Ellis (ALP) (sitting MP) Adelaide (SA) (4.0) Inner Metro 42.3 23.2 19.1 4.6 54.0 -3.4
10 Joel Fitzgibbon (ALP) (sitting MP) Hunter (NSW) (3.7) Rural 44.5 36.7 7.8 4.6 53.7 -8.7
11 Nick Champion (ALP) (sitting MP) Wakefield (SA) (3.4) Rural 41.5 27.1 14.4 4.3 53.4 -6.7
12 Chris Bowen (ALP) (sitting MP) McMahon (NSW) (5.3) Outer Metro 50.2 42.1 8.1 4.2 55.3 -1.9
13 Kevin Rudd (ALP) (sitting MP) Griffith (Qld) (3.0) Outer Metro 40.4 33.2 7.2 4.1 53.0 -5.3
14 Catherine King (ALP) (sitting MP) Ballarat (Vic) (4.9) Provincial 41.9 34.3 7.6 4.0 54.9 -7.2
15 Melissa Parke (ALP) (sitting MP) Fremantle (WA) (4.8) Inner Metro 40.8 32.9 8.0 3.8 54.8 -0.1
16 Jenny Macklin (ALP) (sitting MP) Jagajaga (Vic) (3.1) Outer Metro 38.0 30.6 7.4 3.8 53.1 -8.1
17 Warren Snowdon (ALP) (sitting MP) Lingiari (NT) (0.9) Rural 39.8 32.1 7.6 3.8 50.9 -2.2
18 Jill Hall (ALP) (sitting MP) Shortland (NSW) (7.2) Provincial 48.7 41.1 7.6 3.7 57.2 -5.8
19 Anna Burke (ALP) (sitting MP) Chisholm (Vic) (1.6) Inner Metro 39.5 32.3 7.2 3.6 51.6 -3.6
20 Julie Collins (ALP) (sitting MP) Franklin (Tas) (5.1) Outer Metro 39.9 34.0 5.9 3.5 55.1 -5.6
21 Gai Brodtmann (ALP) (sitting MP) Canberra (ACT) (7.0) Inner Metro 41.1 33.6 7.5 3.3 57.0 -2.0
22 Sid Sidebottom (ALP) (sitting MP) Braddon (Tas) (2.6) [ch13] Rural 37.6 32.0 5.6 2.9 47.4 -9.7
23 Kelvin Thomson (ALP) (sitting MP) Wills (Vic) (15.2) Inner Metro 45.1 38.8 6.4 2.8 0.0 NA
24 Jason Clare (ALP) (sitting MP) Blaxland (NSW) (11.4) Inner Metro 55.7 49.4 6.4 2.5 61.4 0.2
25 Sharon Bird (ALP) (sitting MP) Cunningham (NSW) (9.9) Provincial 45.5 39.1 6.4 2.5 59.9 -2.9
26 David Bradbury (ALP) (sitting MP) Lindsay (NSW) (3.0) [ch13] Outer Metro 39.0 32.7 6.3 2.4 47.0 -4.1
27 Dick Adams (ALP) (sitting MP) Lyons (Tas) (1.2) [ch13] Rural 36.8 31.7 5.1 2.4 48.8 -13.5
28 Chris Hayes (ALP) (sitting MP) Fowler (NSW) (16.8) Outer Metro 60.8 54.5 6.2 2.3 66.8 9.3
29 Shayne Neumann (ALP) (sitting MP) Blair (Qld) (5.3) Rural 41.6 36.7 4.9 2.3 55.3 1.4
30 Wayne Swan (ALP) (sitting MP) Lilley (Qld) (1.3) Inner Metro 40.2 35.0 5.3 2.2 51.3 -1.7
31 Michael Danby (ALP) (sitting MP) Melbourne Ports (Vic) (3.6) Inner Metro 31.7 25.9 5.8 2.2 53.6 -2.6
32 Rob Mitchell (ALP) (sitting MP) McEwen (Vic) (0.2) Rural 37.6 34.9 2.8 1.7 50.2 -9.1
33 Yvette D'Ath (ALP) (sitting MP) Petrie (Qld) (0.5) [ch13] Outer Metro 39.5 34.9 4.7 1.6 49.5 -3.1
34 Graham Perrett (ALP) (sitting MP) Moreton (Qld) (1.6) Inner Metro 38.7 34.1 4.7 1.6 51.6 0.7
35 Justine Elliot (ALP) (sitting MP) Richmond (NSW) (3.0) Rural 33.5 28.8 4.7 1.5 53.0 -4.0
36 Geoff Lyons (ALP) (sitting MP) Bass (Tas) (4.0) [ch13] Provincial 34.7 30.8 3.9 1.5 46.0 -10.7
37 Mark Butler (ALP) (sitting MP) Port Adelaide (SA) (14.0) Inner Metro 50.6 34.9 15.7 1.2 64.0 -6.4
38 Daryl Melham (ALP) (sitting MP) Banks (NSW) (1.8) [ch13] Inner Metro 41.0 36.3 4.8 0.9 48.2 -3.4
39 Bill Shorten (ALP) (sitting MP) Maribyrnong (Vic) (11.4) Outer Metro 47.9 43.5 4.4 0.8 61.4 -5.5
40 Mark Dreyfus (ALP) (sitting MP) Isaacs (Vic) (3.8) Outer Metro 41.3 37.0 4.3 0.7 53.8 -6.4
41 John Murphy (ALP) (sitting MP) Reid (NSW) (0.9) [ch13] Inner Metro 40.6 36.0 4.6 0.7 49.2 -3.1
42 Ed Husic (ALP) (sitting MP) Chifley (NSW) (10.6) Outer Metro 52.3 47.9 4.5 0.6 60.6 -1.3
43 Alan Griffin (ALP) (sitting MP) Bruce (Vic) (1.8) Outer Metro 41.9 37.7 4.2 0.6 51.8 -5.8
44 Tony Burke (ALP) (sitting MP) Watson (NSW) (6.8) Inner Metro 49.5 45.2 4.3 0.4 56.8 -1.6
45 Gary Gray (ALP) (sitting MP) Brand (WA) (2.9) Provincial 40.4 35.9 4.5 0.3 52.9 0.1
46 Bernie Ripoll (ALP) (sitting MP) Oxley (Qld) (3.8) Outer Metro 43.1 40.0 3.1 0.0 53.8 -1.9
47 Steve Georganas (ALP) (sitting MP) Hindmarsh (SA) (1.9) [ch13] Inner Metro 38.0 23.5 14.5 -0.1 48.1 -8.0
48 Anthony Byrne (ALP) (sitting MP) Holt (Vic) (9.1) Outer Metro 48.2 44.8 3.4 -0.2 59.1 -4.1
49 Mike Symon (ALP) (sitting MP) Deakin (Vic) (3.2) [ch13] Outer Metro 32.7 29.3 3.4 -0.2 46.8 -3.3
50 Richard Marles (ALP) (sitting MP) Corio (Vic) (7.8) Provincial 43.5 40.2 3.3 -0.3 57.8 -5.4
51 Julie Owens (ALP) (sitting MP) Parramatta (NSW) (0.6) Inner Metro 41.3 37.8 3.5 -0.4 50.6 -3.6
52 Darren Cheeseman (ALP) (sitting MP) Corangamite (Vic) (3.9) [ch13] Provincial 32.0 28.9 3.1 -0.5 46.1 -4.1
53 Laura Smyth (ALP) (sitting MP) La Trobe (Vic) (4.0) [ch13] Outer Metro 32.1 29.6 2.5 -1.1 46.0 -5.1
54 Deborah O'Neill (ALP) (sitting MP) Robertson (NSW) (3.0) [ch13] Provincial 34.8 32.1 2.7 -1.2 47.0 -3.5
55 Maria Vamvakinou (ALP) (sitting MP) Calwell (Vic) (13.8) Outer Metro 49.8 47.9 1.9 -1.7 63.8 -5.9
56 Laurie Ferguson (ALP) (sitting MP) Werriwa (NSW) (2.2) Outer Metro 44.1 42.6 1.5 -2.4 52.2 -4.0
57 Brendan O'Connor (ALP) (sitting MP) Gorton (Vic) (16.1) Outer Metro 50.7 49.9 0.9 -2.7 66.1 -6.9
58 Stephen Jones (ALP) (sitting MP) Throsby (NSW) (7.8) Provincial 45.0 44.1 0.9 -3.0 57.8 -4.2
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.