Sheep

typingMumble tables

about blog surname seat margin all census

Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, ALP sitting MPs - ACT

Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Andrew Leigh (ALP) (sitting MP) Fraser (12.6) Inner Metro 44.7 35.2 9.4 5.2 62.6 -1.3
2 Gai Brodtmann (ALP) (sitting MP) Canberra (7.0) Inner Metro 41.1 33.6 7.5 3.3 57.0 -2.0
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.