Sheep

typingMumble tables
about blog surname seat margin all census

Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, ALP sitting MPs - NSW

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Tanya Plibersek (ALP) (sitting MP) Sydney (14.7) Inner Metro 46.0 33.1 13.0 9.1 64.7 -1.7
2 Mike Kelly (ALP) (sitting MP) Eden-Monaro (0.6) [ch13] Rural 38.8 29.3 9.5 6.3 49.4 -4.7
3 Janelle Saffin (ALP) (sitting MP) Page (2.5) [ch13] Rural 38.8 29.7 9.1 5.9 47.5 -6.9
4 Anthony Albanese (ALP) (sitting MP) Grayndler (20.3) Inner Metro 47.2 37.5 9.7 5.8 70.3 0.3
5 Michelle Rowland (ALP) (sitting MP) Greenway (3.0) Outer Metro 44.5 35.9 8.6 4.7 53.0 2.9
6 Joel Fitzgibbon (ALP) (sitting MP) Hunter (3.7) Rural 44.5 36.7 7.8 4.6 53.7 -8.7
7 Chris Bowen (ALP) (sitting MP) McMahon (5.3) Outer Metro 50.2 42.1 8.1 4.2 55.3 -1.9
8 Jill Hall (ALP) (sitting MP) Shortland (7.2) Provincial 48.7 41.1 7.6 3.7 57.2 -5.8
9 Jason Clare (ALP) (sitting MP) Blaxland (11.4) Inner Metro 55.7 49.4 6.4 2.5 61.4 0.2
10 Sharon Bird (ALP) (sitting MP) Cunningham (9.9) Provincial 45.5 39.1 6.4 2.5 59.9 -2.9
11 David Bradbury (ALP) (sitting MP) Lindsay (3.0) [ch13] Outer Metro 39.0 32.7 6.3 2.4 47.0 -4.1
12 Chris Hayes (ALP) (sitting MP) Fowler (16.8) Outer Metro 60.8 54.5 6.2 2.3 66.8 9.3
13 Justine Elliot (ALP) (sitting MP) Richmond (3.0) Rural 33.5 28.8 4.7 1.5 53.0 -4.0
14 Daryl Melham (ALP) (sitting MP) Banks (1.8) [ch13] Inner Metro 41.0 36.3 4.8 0.9 48.2 -3.4
15 John Murphy (ALP) (sitting MP) Reid (0.9) [ch13] Inner Metro 40.6 36.0 4.6 0.7 49.2 -3.1
16 Ed Husic (ALP) (sitting MP) Chifley (10.6) Outer Metro 52.3 47.9 4.5 0.6 60.6 -1.3
17 Tony Burke (ALP) (sitting MP) Watson (6.8) Inner Metro 49.5 45.2 4.3 0.4 56.8 -1.6
18 Julie Owens (ALP) (sitting MP) Parramatta (0.6) Inner Metro 41.3 37.8 3.5 -0.4 50.6 -3.6
19 Deborah O'Neill (ALP) (sitting MP) Robertson (3.0) [ch13] Provincial 34.8 32.1 2.7 -1.2 47.0 -3.5
20 Laurie Ferguson (ALP) (sitting MP) Werriwa (2.2) Outer Metro 44.1 42.6 1.5 -2.4 52.2 -4.0
21 Stephen Jones (ALP) (sitting MP) Throsby (7.8) Provincial 45.0 44.1 0.9 -3.0 57.8 -4.2
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.