Sheep

typingMumble tables
about blog surname seat margin all census

Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, all major parties - NT

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Warren Snowdon (ALP) (sitting MP) Lingiari (0.9) Rural 39.8 32.1 7.6 3.8 50.9 -2.2
2 Luke Gosling (ALP) Solomon (1.4) Inner Metro 35.4 33.3 2.1 1.1 48.6 0.9
3 Natasha Griggs (CLP) (sitting MP) Solomon (1.4) Inner Metro 44.7 42.8 1.9 1.0 51.4 -0.9
4 Tina Macfarlane (CLP) Lingiari (0.9) Rural 38.2 39.6 -1.4 -0.7 49.1 2.2
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.