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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, Coalition non sitting - Tas

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Andrew Nikolic (LP) Bass (4.0) [ch13] Provincial 47.9 41.6 6.2 4.0 54.0 10.7
2 Eric Hutchinson (LP) Lyons (1.2) [ch13] Rural 44.4 38.5 5.9 3.1 51.2 13.5
3 Brett Whiteley (LP) Braddon (2.6) [ch13] Rural 46.9 41.6 5.3 2.5 52.6 9.7
4 Bernadette Black (LP) Franklin (5.1) Outer Metro 38.7 36.2 2.5 0.3 44.9 5.6
5 Tanya Denison (LP) vacant seat Denison (15.5) Inner Metro 23.2 29.6 -6.4 -8.6 0.0 NA
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.