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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, Coalition non sitting - SA

Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Tony Pasin (Lib )/ Miles Hannemann (Nat) vacant seat Barker (16.6) Rural 57.0 37.1 19.9 0.4 66.6 3.4
2 Matt Williams (LP) Hindmarsh (1.9) [ch13] Inner Metro 46.2 29.2 17.0 -0.6 51.9 8.0
3 Carmen Garcia (LP) Adelaide (4.0) Inner Metro 42.1 28.8 13.2 -4.4 46.1 3.4
4 Sue Lawrie (LP) Makin (5.1) Outer Metro 37.2 24.2 13.0 -4.6 44.9 6.7
5 Tom Zorich (LP) Wakefield (3.4) Rural 37.9 23.2 14.7 -4.8 46.6 6.7
6 Damien Mills (LP) Kingston (9.7) Outer Metro 32.4 19.7 12.7 -4.9 40.3 4.4
7 Nigel McKenna (LP) Port Adelaide (14.0) Inner Metro 26.3 16.1 10.3 -7.3 36.0 6.4
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.