Sheep

typingMumble tables
about blog surname seat margin all census

Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, Coalition non sitting - Qld

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Andrew Nguyen (LNP) Oxley (3.8) Outer Metro 38.4 33.9 4.6 0.3 46.2 1.9
2 David Lin (LNP) vacant seat Rankin (4.8) Outer Metro 36.4 31.9 4.5 0.2 45.2 -0.3
3 Michelle Landry (LNP) vacant seat Capricornia (0.8) [ch13] Provincial 40.4 36.8 3.7 -0.6 50.8 3.6
4 Bill Glasson (LNP) Griffith (3.0) Outer Metro 42.2 38.9 3.4 -0.9 47.0 5.3
5 Rod McGarvie (LNP) Lilley (1.3) Inner Metro 41.3 38.0 3.3 -1.0 48.7 1.7
6 Malcolm Cole (LNP) Moreton (1.6) Inner Metro 42.2 39.1 3.1 -1.2 48.5 -0.7
7 Luke Howarth (LNP) Petrie (0.5) [ch13] Outer Metro 40.7 37.6 3.1 -1.2 50.5 3.1
8 Mal Brough (LNP) vacant seat Fisher (4.1) Provincial 45.2 42.2 3.0 -1.3 59.8 5.0
9 Teresa Harding (LNP) Blair (5.3) Rural 33.9 31.0 2.9 -1.3 44.7 -1.4
10 Keith Pitt (LNP) vacant seat Hinkler (9.0) Rural 44.8 41.9 2.8 -1.4 59.0 -1.3
11 Ted O'Brien (LNP) vacant seat Fairfax (4.0) [ch13] Rural 41.4 41.2 0.1 -4.1 0.0 NA
12 Noeline Ikin (LNP) Kennedy (0.3) Rural 40.8 41.5 -0.6 -4.8 0.0 NA
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.