Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, Coalition non sitting - Australia |
Oz | NSW | Vic | Qld | WA | SA | Tas | ACT | NT |
| rk | Name | Seat (margin) | AEC geo | HoR vote | Sen vote | Diff | Adjusted | 2pp vote | Swing 2pp |
| 1 | Andrew Nikolic (LP) | Bass (Tas) (4.0) [ch13] | Provincial | 47.9 | 41.6 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 54.0 | 10.7 | 2 | Eric Hutchinson (LP) | Lyons (Tas) (1.2) [ch13] | Rural | 44.4 | 38.5 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 51.2 | 13.5 | 3 | Andrew Broad (Nat )/ Chris Crewther (Lib) vacant seat | Mallee (Vic) (6.2) | Rural | 66.0 | 57.5 | 8.5 | 2.8 | 0.0 | NA | 4 | Greg Bickley (Lib )/ Sarah Sheedy (Nat) vacant seat | Bendigo (Vic) (1.3) | Provincial | 44.7 | 39.2 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 48.7 | 7.9 | 5 | Brett Whiteley (LP) | Braddon (Tas) (2.6) [ch13] | Rural | 46.9 | 41.6 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 52.6 | 9.7 | 6 | Sarah Henderson (Lib )/ Andrew Black (Nat) | Corangamite (Vic) (3.9) [ch13] | Provincial | 48.9 | 44.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 53.9 | 4.1 | 7 | Tom Sefton (LP) | Canberra (ACT) (7.0) | Inner Metro | 37.9 | 35.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 43.0 | 2.0 | 8 | Christian Porter (Lib )/ Craig McAllister (Nat) vacant seat | Pearce (WA) (8.1) | Provincial | 50.6 | 43.7 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 58.1 | -0.9 | 9 | Larissa Mallinson (Lib )/ Gary Anderson (Nat) | Throsby (NSW) (7.8) | Provincial | 38.0 | 24.9 | 13.1 | 0.5 | 42.2 | 4.2 | 10 | Tony Pasin (Lib )/ Miles Hannemann (Nat) vacant seat | Barker (SA) (16.6) | Rural | 57.0 | 37.1 | 19.9 | 0.4 | 66.6 | 3.4 | 11 | Ron Delezio (LP) | Watson (NSW) (6.8) | Inner Metro | 38.7 | 25.8 | 13.0 | 0.4 | 43.2 | 1.6 | 12 | Andrew Nguyen (LNP) | Oxley (Qld) (3.8) | Outer Metro | 38.4 | 33.9 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 46.2 | 1.9 | 13 | Bernadette Black (LP) | Franklin (Tas) (5.1) | Outer Metro | 38.7 | 36.2 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 44.9 | 5.6 | 14 | David Lin (LNP) vacant seat | Rankin (Qld) (4.8) | Outer Metro | 36.4 | 31.9 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 45.2 | -0.3 | 15 | Melissa Price (Lib )/ Shane Van Styn (Nat) vacant seat | Durack (WA) (4.0) | Rural | 61.2 | 51.7 | 9.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | NA | 16 | Ian Goodenough (LP) vacant seat | Moore (WA) (11.9) | Outer Metro | 53.1 | 47.0 | 6.1 | 0.1 | 61.9 | 0.8 | 17 | Jason Wood (LP) | La Trobe (Vic) (4.0) [ch13] | Outer Metro | 46.1 | 43.1 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 5.1 | 18 | Elizabeth Lee (LP) | Fraser (ACT) (12.6) | Inner Metro | 31.6 | 30.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 37.4 | 1.3 | 19 | Rick Wilson (Lib )/ Chub Witham (Nat) vacant seat | O'Connor (WA) (1.0) | Rural | 64.5 | 55.5 | 9.0 | -0.3 | 0.0 | NA | 20 | Ray King (LP) | McMahon (NSW) (5.3) | Outer Metro | 40.6 | 28.4 | 12.2 | -0.4 | 44.7 | 1.9 | 21 | David Coleman (LP) | Banks (NSW) (1.8) [ch13] | Inner Metro | 47.0 | 34.9 | 12.1 | -0.5 | 51.8 | 3.4 | 22 | Matt Williams (LP) | Hindmarsh (SA) (1.9) [ch13] | Inner Metro | 46.2 | 29.2 | 17.0 | -0.6 | 51.9 | 8.0 | 23 | Michelle Landry (LNP) vacant seat | Capricornia (Qld) (0.8) [ch13] | Provincial | 40.4 | 36.8 | 3.7 | -0.6 | 50.8 | 3.6 | 24 | Nick McGowan (LP) | Jagajaga (Vic) (3.1) | Outer Metro | 41.9 | 39.7 | 2.2 | -0.7 | 46.9 | 8.1 | 25 | Emanuele Cicchiello (LP) | Bruce (Vic) (1.8) | Outer Metro | 43.0 | 40.7 | 2.2 | -0.7 | 48.2 | 5.8 | 26 | Tina Macfarlane (CLP) | Lingiari (NT) (0.9) | Rural | 38.2 | 39.6 | -1.4 | -0.7 | 49.1 | 2.2 | 27 | Barnaby Joyce (NP) vacant seat | New England (NSW) (14.5) [ch13] | Rural | 54.2 | 38.9 | 15.3 | -0.8 | 0.0 | NA | 28 | Michael Sukkar (LP) | Deakin (Vic) (3.2) [ch13] | Outer Metro | 45.9 | 43.8 | 2.1 | -0.8 | 53.2 | 3.3 | 29 | Michael Feneley (LP) vacant seat | Kingsford Smith (NSW) (2.7) | Inner Metro | 43.5 | 31.7 | 11.8 | -0.8 | 47.3 | 2.0 | 30 | John Church (LP) | Shortland (NSW) (7.2) | Provincial | 37.8 | 26.0 | 11.8 | -0.8 | 42.8 | 5.8 | 31 | Craig Laundy (LP) | Reid (NSW) (0.9) [ch13] | Inner Metro | 47.1 | 35.4 | 11.7 | -0.9 | 50.9 | 3.1 | 32 | Bill Glasson (LNP) | Griffith (Qld) (3.0) | Outer Metro | 42.2 | 38.9 | 3.4 | -0.9 | 47.0 | 5.3 | 33 | Rod McGarvie (LNP) | Lilley (Qld) (1.3) | Inner Metro | 41.3 | 38.0 | 3.3 | -1.0 | 48.7 | 1.7 | 34 | Nickolas Varvaris (LP) vacant seat | Barton (NSW) (0.3) [ch13] | Inner Metro | 42.4 | 30.7 | 11.6 | -1.0 | 50.3 | 6.8 | 35 | Malcolm Cole (LNP) | Moreton (Qld) (1.6) | Inner Metro | 42.2 | 39.1 | 3.1 | -1.2 | 48.5 | -0.7 | 36 | Donna Gordin (LP) | Brand (WA) (2.9) | Provincial | 38.7 | 33.9 | 4.8 | -1.2 | 47.1 | -0.1 | 37 | Luke Howarth (LNP) | Petrie (Qld) (0.5) [ch13] | Outer Metro | 40.7 | 37.6 | 3.1 | -1.2 | 50.5 | 3.1 | 38 | Martin Zaiter (LP) | Parramatta (NSW) (0.6) | Inner Metro | 44.3 | 33.0 | 11.3 | -1.3 | 49.4 | 3.6 | 39 | Mal Brough (LNP) vacant seat | Fisher (Qld) (4.1) | Provincial | 45.2 | 42.2 | 3.0 | -1.3 | 59.8 | 5.0 | 40 | Kent Johns (LP) | Werriwa (NSW) (2.2) | Outer Metro | 39.7 | 28.4 | 11.3 | -1.3 | 47.8 | 4.0 | 41 | Jaimie Abbott (LP) vacant seat | Newcastle (NSW) (8.8) | Provincial | 34.7 | 23.3 | 11.3 | -1.3 | 41.2 | 3.1 | 42 | Teresa Harding (LNP) | Blair (Qld) (5.3) | Rural | 33.9 | 31.0 | 2.9 | -1.3 | 44.7 | -1.4 | 43 | Angus Taylor (LP) vacant seat | Hume (NSW) (11.5) | Rural | 54.0 | 39.3 | 14.7 | -1.4 | 61.5 | 2.6 | 44 | Keith Pitt (LNP) vacant seat | Hinkler (Qld) (9.0) | Rural | 44.8 | 41.9 | 2.8 | -1.4 | 59.0 | -1.3 | 45 | John Fitzgibbon (LP) | Ballarat (Vic) (4.9) | Provincial | 38.0 | 36.5 | 1.5 | -1.4 | 45.1 | 7.2 | 46 | Peter Read (LP) | Corio (Vic) (7.8) | Provincial | 35.2 | 33.8 | 1.4 | -1.5 | 42.3 | 5.4 | 47 | David McConnell (LP) vacant seat | Gellibrand (Vic) (16.5) | Inner Metro | 26.7 | 25.4 | 1.3 | -1.6 | 33.5 | 6.8 | 48 | Ann Sudmalis (LP) vacant seat | Gilmore (NSW) (2.7) | Rural | 46.0 | 31.6 | 14.4 | -1.7 | 52.7 | -2.8 | 49 | John Nguyen (LP) | Chisholm (Vic) (1.6) | Inner Metro | 44.1 | 42.9 | 1.2 | -1.7 | 48.4 | 3.6 | 50 | Garry Spencer (LP) | Isaacs (Vic) (3.8) | Outer Metro | 40.2 | 39.0 | 1.2 | -1.7 | 46.2 | 6.4 | 51 | Philip Clifford (LP) | Cunningham (NSW) (9.9) | Provincial | 33.7 | 22.8 | 10.9 | -1.7 | 40.1 | 2.9 | 52 | Fiona Scott (LP) | Lindsay (NSW) (3.0) [ch13] | Outer Metro | 46.6 | 36.1 | 10.6 | -2.0 | 53.0 | 4.1 | 53 | Ricardo Balancy (LP) | Holt (Vic) (9.1) | Outer Metro | 32.6 | 31.9 | 0.7 | -2.2 | 40.9 | 4.1 | 54 | Fazal Cader (LP) vacant seat | Hotham (Vic) (7.3) | Outer Metro | 37.1 | 36.8 | 0.4 | -2.5 | 42.7 | 5.7 | 55 | Ted Hatzakortzian (LP) | Maribyrnong (Vic) (11.4) | Outer Metro | 33.0 | 32.7 | 0.4 | -2.5 | 38.6 | 5.5 | 56 | George Souris (LP) vacant seat | Batman (Vic) (10.6) | Inner Metro | 22.7 | 22.3 | 0.4 | -2.5 | 0.0 | NA | 57 | Isabelle White (LP) | Chifley (NSW) (10.6) | Outer Metro | 32.2 | 22.3 | 9.9 | -2.7 | 39.5 | 1.3 | 58 | Phil Humphreys (LP) | Gorton (Vic) (16.1) | Outer Metro | 25.5 | 25.3 | 0.2 | -2.7 | 33.9 | 6.9 | 59 | Peter Hendy (LP) | Eden-Monaro (NSW) (0.6) [ch13] | Rural | 45.3 | 32.1 | 13.2 | -2.9 | 50.6 | 4.7 | 60 | Jag Chugha (LP) vacant seat | Scullin (Vic) (14.4) | Outer Metro | 29.1 | 29.3 | -0.1 | -3.0 | 35.7 | 5.4 | 61 | Karen McNamara (LP) vacant seat | Dobell (NSW) (0.7) [ch13] | Provincial | 41.4 | 31.9 | 9.5 | -3.1 | 50.7 | 5.5 | 62 | Ali Khan (LP) | Calwell (Vic) (13.8) | Outer Metro | 28.5 | 28.7 | -0.2 | -3.1 | 36.2 | 5.9 | 63 | Matthew Hanssen (LP) | Fremantle (WA) (4.8) | Inner Metro | 38.1 | 35.5 | 2.7 | -3.3 | 45.2 | 0.1 | 64 | Nihal Samara (LP) vacant seat | Lalor (Vic) (12.2) | Outer Metro | 29.3 | 29.8 | -0.5 | -3.4 | 37.8 | 9.7 | 65 | Kevin Ekendahl (LP) | Melbourne Ports (Vic) (3.6) | Inner Metro | 41.1 | 41.7 | -0.7 | -3.6 | 46.4 | 2.6 | 66 | David Gillespie (NP) vacant seat | Lyne (NSW) (14.8) [ch13] | Rural | 53.2 | 40.8 | 12.4 | -3.7 | 64.8 | 2.6 | 67 | Donna Petrovich (LP) | McEwen (Vic) (0.2) | Rural | 40.3 | 38.4 | 2.0 | -3.7 | 49.9 | 9.1 | 68 | Andrew Nguyen (LP) | Fowler (NSW) (16.8) | Outer Metro | 26.8 | 17.9 | 8.9 | -3.7 | 33.2 | -9.3 | 69 | Kevin Hogan (NP) | Page (NSW) (2.5) [ch13] | Rural | 46.7 | 34.3 | 12.3 | -3.8 | 52.5 | 6.9 | 70 | Darryl Moore (LP) vacant seat | Perth (WA) (4.4) | Inner Metro | 39.8 | 37.6 | 2.2 | -3.8 | 45.7 | 0.8 | 71 | Anthony Khouri (LP) | Blaxland (NSW) (11.4) | Inner Metro | 32.7 | 23.9 | 8.8 | -3.8 | 38.6 | -0.2 | 72 | Jaymes Diaz (LP) | Greenway (NSW) (3.0) | Outer Metro | 40.0 | 31.4 | 8.7 | -3.9 | 47.0 | -2.9 | 73 | Shilpa Hegde (LP) | Wills (Vic) (15.2) | Inner Metro | 22.8 | 23.9 | -1.1 | -4.0 | 0.0 | NA | 74 | Ted O'Brien (LNP) vacant seat | Fairfax (Qld) (4.0) [ch13] | Rural | 41.4 | 41.2 | 0.1 | -4.1 | 0.0 | NA | 75 | Carmen Garcia (LP) | Adelaide (SA) (4.0) | Inner Metro | 42.1 | 28.8 | 13.2 | -4.4 | 46.1 | 3.4 | 76 | Sue Lawrie (LP) | Makin (SA) (5.1) | Outer Metro | 37.2 | 24.2 | 13.0 | -4.6 | 44.9 | 6.7 | 77 | Kevin Baker (LP) vacant seat | Charlton (NSW) (9.2) | Provincial | 28.5 | 20.6 | 8.0 | -4.6 | 40.8 | 3.2 | 78 | Sean Armistead (LP) | Melbourne (Vic) (5.3) | Inner Metro | 23.1 | 24.9 | -1.7 | -4.6 | 0.0 | NA | 79 | Tom Zorich (LP) | Wakefield (SA) (3.4) | Rural | 37.9 | 23.2 | 14.7 | -4.8 | 46.6 | 6.7 | 80 | Noeline Ikin (LNP) | Kennedy (Qld) (0.3) | Rural | 40.8 | 41.5 | -0.6 | -4.8 | 0.0 | NA | 81 | Damien Mills (LP) | Kingston (SA) (9.7) | Outer Metro | 32.4 | 19.7 | 12.7 | -4.9 | 40.3 | 4.4 | 82 | Sean O'Connor (LP) | Sydney (NSW) (14.7) | Inner Metro | 30.5 | 22.8 | 7.7 | -4.9 | 35.4 | 1.7 | 83 | Lucy Wicks (LP) | Robertson (NSW) (3.0) [ch13] | Provincial | 43.4 | 36.2 | 7.2 | -5.4 | 53.0 | 3.5 | 84 | Michael Johnsen (NP) | Hunter (NSW) (3.7) | Rural | 35.1 | 24.8 | 10.3 | -5.8 | 46.3 | 8.7 | 85 | Cedric Spencer (LP) | Grayndler (NSW) (20.3) | Inner Metro | 24.7 | 19.0 | 5.7 | -6.9 | 29.7 | -0.3 | 86 | Nigel McKenna (LP) | Port Adelaide (SA) (14.0) | Inner Metro | 26.3 | 16.1 | 10.3 | -7.3 | 36.0 | 6.4 | 87 | Matthew Fraser (NP) | Richmond (NSW) (3.0) | Rural | 37.6 | 30.1 | 7.5 | -8.6 | 47.0 | 4.0 | 88 | Tanya Denison (LP) vacant seat | Denison (Tas) (15.5) | Inner Metro | 23.2 | 29.6 | -6.4 | -8.6 | 0.0 | NA |
| Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation. | On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent. |