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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, Coalition sitting MPs - Vic

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Kevin Andrews (LP) (sitting MP) Menzies (14.5) Outer Metro 58.9 53.4 5.5 2.6 64.5 5.2
2 Alan Tudge (LP) (sitting MP) Aston (8.2) Outer Metro 51.6 46.3 5.3 2.4 58.2 7.3
3 Greg Hunt (LP) (sitting MP) Flinders (11.8) Rural 55.3 47.6 7.7 2.0 61.8 2.1
4 Tony Smith (LP) (sitting MP) Casey (7.2) Outer Metro 49.2 44.5 4.7 1.8 57.2 4.9
5 Josh Frydenberg (LP) (sitting MP) Kooyong (11.1) Inner Metro 55.7 51.2 4.5 1.6 61.1 3.0
6 Kelly O'Dwyer (LP) (sitting MP) Higgins (9.9) Inner Metro 54.4 49.8 4.5 1.6 59.9 4.5
7 Bruce Billson (LP) (sitting MP) Dunkley (5.6) Outer Metro 48.8 44.4 4.4 1.5 55.6 3.7
8 Sharman Stone (LP) (sitting MP) Murray (20.9) Rural 61.4 54.4 7.0 1.3 70.9 1.5
9 Andrew Robb (LP) (sitting MP) Goldstein (11.0) Inner Metro 56.5 52.8 3.7 0.8 61.0 4.5
10 Darren Chester (NP) (sitting MP) Gippsland (15.8) Rural 53.8 47.4 6.4 0.7 65.8 4.8
11 Dan Tehan (LP) (sitting MP) Wannon (10.1) Rural 53.7 48.8 5.0 -0.7 60.1 4.2
12 Russell Broadbent (LP) (sitting MP) McMillan (11.9) Rural 50.4 45.5 4.9 -0.8 61.9 7.9
13 Sophie Mirabella (LP) (sitting MP) Indi (0.3) Rural 44.7 48.6 -3.9 -9.6 0.0 NA
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.