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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, Coalition sitting MPs - NSW

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Malcolm Turnbull (LP) (sitting MP) Wentworth (17.7) Inner Metro 63.3 42.2 21.2 8.6 67.7 2.4
2 Mark Coulton (NP) (sitting MP) Parkes (22.4) Rural 64.0 40.1 23.9 7.8 72.4 2.8
3 Sussan Ley (LP) (sitting MP) Farrer (17.4) Rural 57.8 37.5 20.3 4.2 67.4 2.0
4 Russell Matheson (LP) (sitting MP) Macarthur (11.4) Outer Metro 54.3 37.9 16.5 3.9 61.4 8.5
5 John Cobb (NP) (sitting MP) Calare (16.0) Rural 57.7 37.9 19.7 3.6 66.0 5.3
6 Joe Hockey (LP) (sitting MP) North Sydney (15.9) Inner Metro 61.0 45.3 15.7 3.1 65.9 1.5
7 Bob Baldwin (LP) (sitting MP) Paterson (9.8) Rural 53.9 34.9 19.0 2.9 59.8 4.2
8 Bronwyn Bishop (LP) (sitting MP) Mackellar (18.8) Outer Metro 62.4 47.0 15.4 2.8 68.8 3.1
9 Alex Hawke (LP) (sitting MP) Mitchell (22.1) Outer Metro 65.5 50.2 15.3 2.7 72.1 5.0
10 Craig Kelly (LP) (sitting MP) Hughes (10.7) Outer Metro 54.7 39.8 14.9 2.3 60.7 5.7
11 Michael McCormack (NP) (sitting MP) Riverina (21.2) Rural 59.2 41.1 18.0 1.9 71.2 3.0
12 Paul Fletcher (LP) (sitting MP) Bradfield (20.8) Inner Metro 64.8 50.5 14.4 1.8 70.8 2.9
13 Tony Abbott (LP) (sitting MP) Warringah (15.4) Inner Metro 60.9 46.7 14.2 1.6 65.4 2.2
14 Scott Morrison (LP) (sitting MP) Cook (16.4) Inner Metro 60.4 46.3 14.0 1.4 66.4 4.1
15 Philip Ruddock (LP) (sitting MP) Berowra (19.1) Outer Metro 61.4 47.6 13.9 1.3 69.1 2.8
16 Luke Hartsuyker (NP) (sitting MP) Cowper (11.7) Rural 53.1 36.2 16.9 0.8 61.7 2.5
17 John Alexander (LP) (sitting MP) Bennelong (7.8) Inner Metro 53.0 40.2 12.8 0.2 57.8 4.5
18 Louise Markus (LP) (sitting MP) Macquarie (4.5) Provincial 47.4 36.4 11.0 -1.6 54.5 3.1
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.