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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, Coalition sitting MPs - Qld

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Wyatt Roy (LNP) (sitting MP) Longman (6.9) Rural 44.8 37.1 7.8 3.6 56.9 4.8
2 Peter Dutton (LNP) (sitting MP) Dickson (6.7) Outer Metro 48.0 40.6 7.4 3.1 56.7 1.2
3 Warren Entsch (LNP) (sitting MP) Leichhardt (5.7) Rural 45.3 38.0 7.3 3.1 55.7 0.7
4 Ian Macfarlane (LNP) (sitting MP) Groom (16.5) Provincial 55.6 48.7 6.9 2.6 66.5 -3.0
5 Andrew Laming (LNP) (sitting MP) Bowman (8.9) Outer Metro 49.3 42.7 6.6 2.3 58.9 -1.8
6 Bruce Scott (LNP) (sitting MP) Maranoa (22.3) Rural 57.4 51.7 5.7 1.5 72.3 -2.1
7 Warren Truss (LNP) (sitting MP) Wide Bay (13.2) Rural 48.9 43.2 5.7 1.5 63.2 -2.8
8 George Christensen (LNP) (sitting MP) Dawson (7.6) Rural 46.2 40.8 5.4 1.2 57.6 5.1
9 Ross Vasta (LNP) (sitting MP) Bonner (3.7) Outer Metro 46.8 41.5 5.3 1.0 53.7 0.4
10 Steven Ciobo (LNP) (sitting MP) Moncrieff (18.0) Provincial 55.7 51.2 4.5 0.2 68.0 0.5
11 Stuart Robert (LNP) (sitting MP) Fadden (14.4) Outer Metro 53.6 49.1 4.5 0.2 64.4 0.2
12 Ken O'Dowd (LNP) (sitting MP) Flynn (6.5) Rural 46.0 41.8 4.3 0.1 56.5 1.1
13 Ewen Jones (LNP) (sitting MP) Herbert (6.2) Provincial 43.3 38.9 4.4 0.1 56.2 3.7
14 Bert Van Manen (LNP) (sitting MP) Forde (4.4) Rural 42.5 38.2 4.3 0.1 54.4 2.6
15 Jane Prentice (LNP) (sitting MP) Ryan (8.5) Outer Metro 51.7 47.3 4.3 0.0 58.5 1.5
16 Scott Buchholz (LNP) (sitting MP) Wright (11.8) Rural 47.8 44.3 3.6 -0.6 61.8 1.5
17 Teresa Gambaro (LNP) (sitting MP) Brisbane (4.3) Inner Metro 48.0 44.6 3.4 -0.9 54.3 2.8
18 Karen Andrews (LNP) (sitting MP) McPherson (13.0) Provincial 50.2 46.8 3.4 -0.9 63.0 2.7
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.