Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, Coalition sitting MPs - Australia |
Oz | NSW | Vic | Qld | WA | SA | Tas | ACT | NT |
| rk | Name | Seat (margin) | AEC geo | HoR vote | Sen vote | Diff | Adjusted | 2pp vote | Swing 2pp |
| 1 | Malcolm Turnbull (LP) (sitting MP) | Wentworth (NSW) (17.7) | Inner Metro | 63.3 | 42.2 | 21.2 | 8.6 | 67.7 | 2.4 | 2 | Mark Coulton (NP) (sitting MP) | Parkes (NSW) (22.4) | Rural | 64.0 | 40.1 | 23.9 | 7.8 | 72.4 | 2.8 | 3 | Don Randall (Lib )/ James Forsyth (Nat) | Canning (WA) (11.8) | Outer Metro | 53.0 | 41.1 | 11.9 | 5.9 | 61.8 | 9.4 | 4 | Christopher Pyne (LP) (sitting MP) | Sturt (SA) (10.1) | Inner Metro | 54.4 | 32.2 | 22.2 | 4.6 | 60.1 | 6.7 | 5 | Sussan Ley (LP) (sitting MP) | Farrer (NSW) (17.4) | Rural | 57.8 | 37.5 | 20.3 | 4.2 | 67.4 | 2.0 | 6 | Andrew Southcott (LP) (sitting MP) | Boothby (SA) (7.1) | Outer Metro | 50.4 | 28.7 | 21.7 | 4.1 | 57.1 | 6.5 | 7 | Russell Matheson (LP) (sitting MP) | Macarthur (NSW) (11.4) | Outer Metro | 54.3 | 37.9 | 16.5 | 3.9 | 61.4 | 8.5 | 8 | John Cobb (NP) (sitting MP) | Calare (NSW) (16.0) | Rural | 57.7 | 37.9 | 19.7 | 3.6 | 66.0 | 5.3 | 9 | Wyatt Roy (LNP) (sitting MP) | Longman (Qld) (6.9) | Rural | 44.8 | 37.1 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 56.9 | 4.8 | 10 | Joe Hockey (LP) (sitting MP) | North Sydney (NSW) (15.9) | Inner Metro | 61.0 | 45.3 | 15.7 | 3.1 | 65.9 | 1.5 | 11 | Jamie Briggs (LP) (sitting MP) | Mayo (SA) (12.5) | Rural | 53.8 | 31.2 | 22.6 | 3.1 | 62.5 | 5.2 | 12 | Peter Dutton (LNP) (sitting MP) | Dickson (Qld) (6.7) | Outer Metro | 48.0 | 40.6 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 56.7 | 1.2 | 13 | Warren Entsch (LNP) (sitting MP) | Leichhardt (Qld) (5.7) | Rural | 45.3 | 38.0 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 55.7 | 0.7 | 14 | Bob Baldwin (LP) (sitting MP) | Paterson (NSW) (9.8) | Rural | 53.9 | 34.9 | 19.0 | 2.9 | 59.8 | 4.2 | 15 | Bronwyn Bishop (LP) (sitting MP) | Mackellar (NSW) (18.8) | Outer Metro | 62.4 | 47.0 | 15.4 | 2.8 | 68.8 | 3.1 | 16 | Alex Hawke (LP) (sitting MP) | Mitchell (NSW) (22.1) | Outer Metro | 65.5 | 50.2 | 15.3 | 2.7 | 72.1 | 5.0 | 17 | Kevin Andrews (LP) (sitting MP) | Menzies (Vic) (14.5) | Outer Metro | 58.9 | 53.4 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 64.5 | 5.2 | 18 | Ian Macfarlane (LNP) (sitting MP) | Groom (Qld) (16.5) | Provincial | 55.6 | 48.7 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 66.5 | -3.0 | 19 | Alan Tudge (LP) (sitting MP) | Aston (Vic) (8.2) | Outer Metro | 51.6 | 46.3 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 58.2 | 7.3 | 20 | Craig Kelly (LP) (sitting MP) | Hughes (NSW) (10.7) | Outer Metro | 54.7 | 39.8 | 14.9 | 2.3 | 60.7 | 5.7 | 21 | Andrew Laming (LNP) (sitting MP) | Bowman (Qld) (8.9) | Outer Metro | 49.3 | 42.7 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 58.9 | -1.8 | 22 | Greg Hunt (LP) (sitting MP) | Flinders (Vic) (11.8) | Rural | 55.3 | 47.6 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 61.8 | 2.1 | 23 | Michael McCormack (NP) (sitting MP) | Riverina (NSW) (21.2) | Rural | 59.2 | 41.1 | 18.0 | 1.9 | 71.2 | 3.0 | 24 | Luke Simpkins (LP) (sitting MP) | Cowan (WA) (7.5) | Outer Metro | 49.6 | 41.7 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 57.5 | 0.8 | 25 | Paul Fletcher (LP) (sitting MP) | Bradfield (NSW) (20.8) | Inner Metro | 64.8 | 50.5 | 14.4 | 1.8 | 70.8 | 2.9 | 26 | Tony Smith (LP) (sitting MP) | Casey (Vic) (7.2) | Outer Metro | 49.2 | 44.5 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 57.2 | 4.9 | 27 | Tony Abbott (LP) (sitting MP) | Warringah (NSW) (15.4) | Inner Metro | 60.9 | 46.7 | 14.2 | 1.6 | 65.4 | 2.2 | 28 | Josh Frydenberg (LP) (sitting MP) | Kooyong (Vic) (11.1) | Inner Metro | 55.7 | 51.2 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 61.1 | 3.0 | 29 | Kelly O'Dwyer (LP) (sitting MP) | Higgins (Vic) (9.9) | Inner Metro | 54.4 | 49.8 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 59.9 | 4.5 | 30 | Bruce Scott (LNP) (sitting MP) | Maranoa (Qld) (22.3) | Rural | 57.4 | 51.7 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 72.3 | -2.1 | 31 | Bruce Billson (LP) (sitting MP) | Dunkley (Vic) (5.6) | Outer Metro | 48.8 | 44.4 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 55.6 | 3.7 | 32 | Warren Truss (LNP) (sitting MP) | Wide Bay (Qld) (13.2) | Rural | 48.9 | 43.2 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 63.2 | -2.8 | 33 | Scott Morrison (LP) (sitting MP) | Cook (NSW) (16.4) | Inner Metro | 60.4 | 46.3 | 14.0 | 1.4 | 66.4 | 4.1 | 34 | Sharman Stone (LP) (sitting MP) | Murray (Vic) (20.9) | Rural | 61.4 | 54.4 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 70.9 | 1.5 | 35 | Philip Ruddock (LP) (sitting MP) | Berowra (NSW) (19.1) | Outer Metro | 61.4 | 47.6 | 13.9 | 1.3 | 69.1 | 2.8 | 36 | Rowan Ramsey (LP) (sitting MP) | Grey (SA) (13.5) | Rural | 55.7 | 34.9 | 20.8 | 1.3 | 63.5 | 1.5 | 37 | George Christensen (LNP) (sitting MP) | Dawson (Qld) (7.6) | Rural | 46.2 | 40.8 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 57.6 | 5.1 | 38 | Ken Wyatt (LP) (sitting MP) | Hasluck (WA) (4.9) | Outer Metro | 45.4 | 38.2 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 54.9 | 3.9 | 39 | Ross Vasta (LNP) (sitting MP) | Bonner (Qld) (3.7) | Outer Metro | 46.8 | 41.5 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 53.7 | 0.4 | 40 | Natasha Griggs (CLP) (sitting MP) | Solomon (NT) (1.4) | Inner Metro | 44.7 | 42.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 51.4 | -0.9 | 41 | Steve Irons (LP) (sitting MP) | Swan (WA) (6.5) | Inner Metro | 48.9 | 42.0 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 56.5 | 3.4 | 42 | Andrew Robb (LP) (sitting MP) | Goldstein (Vic) (11.0) | Inner Metro | 56.5 | 52.8 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 61.0 | 4.5 | 43 | Luke Hartsuyker (NP) (sitting MP) | Cowper (NSW) (11.7) | Rural | 53.1 | 36.2 | 16.9 | 0.8 | 61.7 | 2.5 | 44 | Darren Chester (NP) (sitting MP) | Gippsland (Vic) (15.8) | Rural | 53.8 | 47.4 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 65.8 | 4.8 | 45 | Michael Keenan (LP) (sitting MP) | Stirling (WA) (10.3) | Inner Metro | 51.8 | 45.1 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 60.3 | 4.5 | 46 | Dennis Jensen (LP) (sitting MP) | Tangney (WA) (14.7) | Inner Metro | 57.2 | 51.0 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 64.7 | 2.4 | 47 | John Alexander (LP) (sitting MP) | Bennelong (NSW) (7.8) | Inner Metro | 53.0 | 40.2 | 12.8 | 0.2 | 57.8 | 4.5 | 48 | Steven Ciobo (LNP) (sitting MP) | Moncrieff (Qld) (18.0) | Provincial | 55.7 | 51.2 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 68.0 | 0.5 | 49 | Stuart Robert (LNP) (sitting MP) | Fadden (Qld) (14.4) | Outer Metro | 53.6 | 49.1 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 64.4 | 0.2 | 50 | Nola Marino (Lib )/ Michael Rose (Nat) | Forrest (WA) (12.3) | Rural | 56.2 | 46.8 | 9.4 | 0.1 | 62.3 | 3.2 | 51 | Ken O'Dowd (LNP) (sitting MP) | Flynn (Qld) (6.5) | Rural | 46.0 | 41.8 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 56.5 | 1.1 | 52 | Ewen Jones (LNP) (sitting MP) | Herbert (Qld) (6.2) | Provincial | 43.3 | 38.9 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 56.2 | 3.7 | 53 | Bert Van Manen (LNP) (sitting MP) | Forde (Qld) (4.4) | Rural | 42.5 | 38.2 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 54.4 | 2.6 | 54 | Julie Bishop (LP) (sitting MP) | Curtin (WA) (17.4) | Inner Metro | 62.1 | 56.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 67.4 | 1.4 | 55 | Jane Prentice (LNP) (sitting MP) | Ryan (Qld) (8.5) | Outer Metro | 51.7 | 47.3 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 58.5 | 1.5 | 56 | Scott Buchholz (LNP) (sitting MP) | Wright (Qld) (11.8) | Rural | 47.8 | 44.3 | 3.6 | -0.6 | 61.8 | 1.5 | 57 | Dan Tehan (LP) (sitting MP) | Wannon (Vic) (10.1) | Rural | 53.7 | 48.8 | 5.0 | -0.7 | 60.1 | 4.2 | 58 | Russell Broadbent (LP) (sitting MP) | McMillan (Vic) (11.9) | Rural | 50.4 | 45.5 | 4.9 | -0.8 | 61.9 | 7.9 | 59 | Teresa Gambaro (LNP) (sitting MP) | Brisbane (Qld) (4.3) | Inner Metro | 48.0 | 44.6 | 3.4 | -0.9 | 54.3 | 2.8 | 60 | Karen Andrews (LNP) (sitting MP) | McPherson (Qld) (13.0) | Provincial | 50.2 | 46.8 | 3.4 | -0.9 | 63.0 | 2.7 | 61 | Louise Markus (LP) (sitting MP) | Macquarie (NSW) (4.5) | Provincial | 47.4 | 36.4 | 11.0 | -1.6 | 54.5 | 3.1 | 62 | Sophie Mirabella (LP) (sitting MP) | Indi (Vic) (0.3) | Rural | 44.7 | 48.6 | -3.9 | -9.6 | 0.0 | NA |
| Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation. | On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent. |