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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, ALP non sitting - Vic

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Clare O'Neil (ALP) vacant seat Hotham (7.3) Outer Metro 47.1 39.0 8.1 4.5 57.3 -5.7
2 Michael Barling (ALP) Wannon (10.1) Rural 29.5 26.3 3.2 2.1 39.9 -4.2
3 Tim Watts (ALP) vacant seat Gellibrand (16.5) Inner Metro 46.0 42.0 4.1 0.5 66.5 -6.8
4 Andrew Giles (ALP) vacant seat Scullin (14.4) Outer Metro 50.3 46.4 3.9 0.3 64.4 -5.4
5 Lisa Chesters (ALP) vacant seat Bendigo (1.3) Provincial 36.6 32.8 3.7 0.1 51.3 -7.9
6 Daniel Guttmann (ALP) Goldstein (11.0) Inner Metro 23.8 20.8 3.1 -0.5 39.0 -4.5
7 David Feeney (ALP) vacant seat Batman (10.6) Inner Metro 41.6 39.2 2.4 -1.2 0.0 NA
8 Wesa Chau (ALP) Higgins (9.9) Inner Metro 24.1 21.8 2.3 -1.3 40.1 -4.5
9 Joshua Sinclair (ALP) Flinders (11.8) Rural 25.2 25.5 -0.3 -1.4 38.2 -2.1
10 Rupert Evans (ALP) Aston (8.2) Outer Metro 32.6 30.6 2.1 -1.5 41.8 -7.3
11 Cathy Farrell (ALP) Casey (7.2) Outer Metro 27.9 25.9 1.9 -1.7 42.8 -4.9
12 John Kennedy (ALP) Kooyong (11.1) Inner Metro 22.4 20.6 1.8 -1.8 38.9 -3.0
13 Sonya Kilkenny (ALP) Dunkley (5.6) Outer Metro 30.9 29.3 1.6 -2.0 44.4 -3.7
14 Rod Higgins (ALP) Murray (20.9) Rural 20.7 21.7 -0.9 -2.0 29.1 -1.5
15 Joanne Ryan (ALP) vacant seat Lalor (12.2) Outer Metro 45.2 43.9 1.3 -2.3 62.2 -9.7
16 Lydia Senior (ALP) vacant seat Mallee (6.2) Rural 17.5 18.8 -1.3 -2.4 0.0 NA
17 Anthony Naus (ALP) McMillan (11.9) Rural 25.1 26.5 -1.5 -2.6 38.1 -7.9
18 Manoj Kumar (ALP) Menzies (14.5) Outer Metro 25.7 24.8 0.9 -2.7 35.6 -5.2
19 Jeff McNeill (ALP) Gippsland (15.8) Rural 23.2 26.2 -3.0 -4.1 34.2 -4.8
20 Cath Bowtell (ALP) Melbourne (5.3) Inner Metro 27.0 29.4 -2.4 -6.0 0.0 NA
21 Robyn Walsh (ALP) Indi (0.3) Rural 11.7 23.0 -11.3 -12.4 0.0 NA
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.