rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1
Matt Thistlethwaite (ALP) vacant seat
Kingsford Smith (2.7) Inner Metro
42.0
35.8
6.2
2.3
52.7
-2.0
2
Pat Conroy (ALP) vacant seat
Charlton (9.2) Provincial
46.4
40.6
5.9
2.0
59.2
-3.2
3
Susan Templeman (ALP)
Macquarie (4.5) Provincial
31.0
25.5
5.5
1.6
45.5
-3.1
4
Neil Reilly (ALP) vacant seat
Gilmore (2.7) Rural
35.1
32.1
3.0
-0.2
47.4
2.8
5
Jason Yat-Sen Li (ALP)
Bennelong (7.8) Inner Metro
32.5
28.8
3.7
-0.2
42.2
-4.5
6
Sharon Claydon (ALP) vacant seat
Newcastle (8.8) Provincial
43.7
40.2
3.5
-0.4
58.8
-3.1
7
Alison Megarrity (ALP)
Hughes (10.7) Outer Metro
32.1
29.1
3.0
-0.9
39.3
-5.7
8
Michael Pilbrow (ALP) vacant seat
Hume (11.5) Rural
26.1
24.7
1.4
-1.8
38.5
-2.6
9
Peter Scaysbrook (ALP)
Cook (16.4) Inner Metro
24.8
22.7
2.1
-1.8
33.7
-4.1
10
Steve McMahon (ALP) vacant seat
Barton (0.3) [ch13]Inner Metro
40.4
38.5
2.0
-1.9
49.7
-6.8
11
Jules Zanetti (ALP)
Warringah (15.4) Inner Metro
19.3
17.3
2.0
-1.9
34.7
-2.2
12
Ian Fulton (ALP)
Macarthur (11.4) Outer Metro
30.6
29.6
1.1
-2.8
38.6
-8.5
13
Bay Marshall (ALP)
Paterson (9.8) Rural
29.6
29.3
0.3
-2.9
40.2
-4.2
14
Jess Jennings (ALP)
Calare (16.0) Rural
25.4
25.5
-0.1
-3.3
34.0
-5.3
15
Emma McBride (ALP) vacant seat
Dobell (0.7) [ch13]Provincial
35.1
34.7
0.5
-3.4
49.3
-5.5
16
Chris Hedge (ALP)
Mackellar (18.8) Outer Metro
17.2
16.7
0.5
-3.4
31.2
-3.1
17
Michael Stove (ALP)
Berowra (19.1) Outer Metro
18.9
19.0
-0.1
-4.0
30.9
-2.8
18
Andrew Punch (ALP)
Mitchell (22.1) Outer Metro
20.5
20.8
-0.3
-4.2
27.9
-5.0
19
Chris Haviland (ALP)
Bradfield (20.8) Inner Metro
16.6
16.9
-0.3
-4.2
29.2
-2.9
20
Alfredo Navarro (ALP)
Cowper (11.7) Rural
25.4
26.5
-1.1
-4.3
38.3
-2.5
21
Brendan Byron (ALP)
Parkes (22.4) Rural
20.8
21.9
-1.1
-4.3
27.7
-2.8
22
Peter Hayes (ALP)
North Sydney (15.9) Inner Metro
20.0
20.5
-0.5
-4.4
34.1
-1.5
23
Di Smith (ALP)
Wentworth (17.7) Inner Metro
19.4
20.1
-0.7
-4.6
32.3
-2.4
24
Gavin Hickey (ALP)
Farrer (17.4) Rural
23.8
25.2
-1.5
-4.7
32.6
-2.0
25
Peter Alley (ALP) vacant seat
Lyne (14.8) [ch13]Rural
21.3
23.6
-2.3
-5.5
35.2
-2.6
26
Tim Kurylowicz (ALP)
Riverina (21.2) Rural
20.4
23.0
-2.6
-5.8
28.8
-3.0
27
Stephen Hewitt (ALP) vacant seat
New England (14.5) [ch13]Rural
11.9
22.0
-10.1
-13.3
0.0
NA
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party).
Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries.
AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan.
Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition.
[ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.
