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Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, ALP non sitting - Qld

 Oz NSW Vic Qld WA SA Tas ACT NT
rk Name Seat (margin) AEC geo HoR vote Sen vote Diff Adjusted 2pp vote Swing 2pp
1 Chris Trevor (ALP) Flynn (6.5) Rural 33.4 29.7 3.8 1.2 43.5 -1.1
2 Fiona McNamara (ALP) Brisbane (4.3) Inner Metro 30.1 26.5 3.6 0.5 45.7 -2.8
3 Peter Freeleagus (ALP) vacant seat Capricornia (0.8) [ch13] Provincial 37.8 34.4 3.4 0.3 49.2 -3.6
4 Laura Fraser Hardy (ALP) Bonner (3.7) Outer Metro 36.0 32.9 3.1 0.0 46.3 -0.4
5 Peter Beattie (ALP) Forde (4.4) Rural 34.0 31.7 2.3 -0.3 45.6 -2.6
6 Jim Chalmers (ALP) vacant seat Rankin (4.8) Outer Metro 42.2 39.8 2.4 -0.7 54.8 0.3
7 Damien Hamwood (ALP) Ryan (8.5) Outer Metro 25.5 23.6 2.0 -1.1 41.5 -1.5
8 Darryl Briskey (ALP) Bowman (8.9) Outer Metro 29.9 28.1 1.8 -1.3 41.1 1.8
9 Billy Gordon (ALP) Leichhardt (5.7) Rural 32.6 31.4 1.2 -1.4 44.3 -0.7
10 Michael Gilliver (ALP) Dickson (6.7) Outer Metro 31.3 29.7 1.7 -1.4 43.3 -1.2
11 Bronwyn Taha (ALP) Dawson (7.6) Rural 29.7 29.0 0.7 -1.9 42.4 -5.1
12 Cathy O'Toole (ALP) Herbert (6.2) Provincial 29.4 29.1 0.3 -2.8 43.8 -3.7
13 Troy Murray (ALP) Groom (16.5) Provincial 22.1 21.9 0.2 -2.9 33.5 3.0
14 Leanne Donaldson (ALP) vacant seat Hinkler (9.0) Rural 27.6 28.1 -0.5 -3.1 41.0 1.3
15 Michael Caisley (ALP) Longman (6.9) Rural 30.7 31.4 -0.7 -3.3 43.1 -4.8
16 Sharon Murakami (ALP) Wright (11.8) Rural 21.4 22.1 -0.7 -3.3 38.2 -1.5
17 Lucy Stanton (ALP) Wide Bay (13.2) Rural 20.7 21.6 -0.9 -3.5 36.8 2.8
18 Nicole Lessio (ALP) Fadden (14.4) Outer Metro 22.2 22.7 -0.5 -3.6 35.6 -0.2
19 Jason Munro (ALP) Moncrieff (18.0) Provincial 20.8 21.5 -0.7 -3.8 32.1 -0.5
20 Gail Hislop (ALP) McPherson (13.0) Provincial 22.8 23.6 -0.8 -3.9 37.0 -2.7
21 Bill Gissane (ALP) vacant seat Fisher (4.1) Provincial 21.3 22.3 -1.0 -4.1 40.3 -5.0
22 Nick Cedric-thompson (ALP) Maranoa (22.3) Rural 16.3 18.7 -2.4 -5.0 27.7 2.1
23 Elaine Hughes (ALP) vacant seat Fairfax (4.0) [ch13] Rural 18.2 21.5 -3.3 -5.9 0.0 NA
24 Andrew Turnour (ALP) Kennedy (0.3) Rural 16.4 21.9 -5.5 -8.1 0.0 NA
Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation.
On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent.