Relative personal votes estim. by HoR-Sen vote 2013, ALP non sitting - Australia |
Oz | NSW | Vic | Qld | WA | SA | Tas | ACT | NT |
| rk | Name | Seat (margin) | AEC geo | HoR vote | Sen vote | Diff | Adjusted | 2pp vote | Swing 2pp |
| 1 | Alannah Mactiernan (ALP) vacant seat | Perth (WA) (4.4) | Inner Metro | 41.3 | 32.1 | 9.1 | 4.9 | 54.4 | -0.8 | 2 | Clare O'Neil (ALP) vacant seat | Hotham (Vic) (7.3) | Outer Metro | 47.1 | 39.0 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 57.3 | -5.7 | 3 | Matt Thistlethwaite (ALP) vacant seat | Kingsford Smith (NSW) (2.7) | Inner Metro | 42.0 | 35.8 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 52.7 | -2.0 | 4 | Michael Barling (ALP) | Wannon (Vic) (10.1) | Rural | 29.5 | 26.3 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 39.9 | -4.2 | 5 | Pat Conroy (ALP) vacant seat | Charlton (NSW) (9.2) | Provincial | 46.4 | 40.6 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 59.2 | -3.2 | 6 | Susan Templeman (ALP) | Macquarie (NSW) (4.5) | Provincial | 31.0 | 25.5 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 45.5 | -3.1 | 7 | John Borlini (ALP) | Forrest (WA) (12.3) | Rural | 25.3 | 24.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 37.7 | -3.2 | 8 | Chris Trevor (ALP) | Flynn (Qld) (6.5) | Rural | 33.4 | 29.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 43.5 | -1.1 | 9 | Luke Gosling (ALP) | Solomon (NT) (1.4) | Inner Metro | 35.4 | 33.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 48.6 | 0.9 | 10 | Tim Watts (ALP) vacant seat | Gellibrand (Vic) (16.5) | Inner Metro | 46.0 | 42.0 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 66.5 | -6.8 | 11 | Fiona McNamara (ALP) | Brisbane (Qld) (4.3) | Inner Metro | 30.1 | 26.5 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 45.7 | -2.8 | 12 | Andrew Giles (ALP) vacant seat | Scullin (Vic) (14.4) | Outer Metro | 50.3 | 46.4 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 64.4 | -5.4 | 13 | Peter Freeleagus (ALP) vacant seat | Capricornia (Qld) (0.8) [ch13] | Provincial | 37.8 | 34.4 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 49.2 | -3.6 | 14 | Lisa Chesters (ALP) vacant seat | Bendigo (Vic) (1.3) | Provincial | 36.6 | 32.8 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 51.3 | -7.9 | 15 | Michael Salt (ALP) vacant seat | O'Connor (WA) (1.0) | Rural | 17.3 | 17.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | NA | 16 | Laura Fraser Hardy (ALP) | Bonner (Qld) (3.7) | Outer Metro | 36.0 | 32.9 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 46.3 | -0.4 | 17 | Neil Reilly (ALP) vacant seat | Gilmore (NSW) (2.7) | Rural | 35.1 | 32.1 | 3.0 | -0.2 | 47.4 | 2.8 | 18 | Jason Yat-Sen Li (ALP) | Bennelong (NSW) (7.8) | Inner Metro | 32.5 | 28.8 | 3.7 | -0.2 | 42.2 | -4.5 | 19 | Peter Beattie (ALP) | Forde (Qld) (4.4) | Rural | 34.0 | 31.7 | 2.3 | -0.3 | 45.6 | -2.6 | 20 | Sharon Claydon (ALP) vacant seat | Newcastle (NSW) (8.8) | Provincial | 43.7 | 40.2 | 3.5 | -0.4 | 58.8 | -3.1 | 21 | Daniel Guttmann (ALP) | Goldstein (Vic) (11.0) | Inner Metro | 23.8 | 20.8 | 3.1 | -0.5 | 39.0 | -4.5 | 22 | Jim Chalmers (ALP) vacant seat | Rankin (Qld) (4.8) | Outer Metro | 42.2 | 39.8 | 2.4 | -0.7 | 54.8 | 0.3 | 23 | Alison Megarrity (ALP) | Hughes (NSW) (10.7) | Outer Metro | 32.1 | 29.1 | 3.0 | -0.9 | 39.3 | -5.7 | 24 | Damien Hamwood (ALP) | Ryan (Qld) (8.5) | Outer Metro | 25.5 | 23.6 | 2.0 | -1.1 | 41.5 | -1.5 | 25 | David Feeney (ALP) vacant seat | Batman (Vic) (10.6) | Inner Metro | 41.6 | 39.2 | 2.4 | -1.2 | 0.0 | NA | 26 | Darryl Briskey (ALP) | Bowman (Qld) (8.9) | Outer Metro | 29.9 | 28.1 | 1.8 | -1.3 | 41.1 | 1.8 | 27 | Wesa Chau (ALP) | Higgins (Vic) (9.9) | Inner Metro | 24.1 | 21.8 | 2.3 | -1.3 | 40.1 | -4.5 | 28 | Billy Gordon (ALP) | Leichhardt (Qld) (5.7) | Rural | 32.6 | 31.4 | 1.2 | -1.4 | 44.3 | -0.7 | 29 | Michael Gilliver (ALP) | Dickson (Qld) (6.7) | Outer Metro | 31.3 | 29.7 | 1.7 | -1.4 | 43.3 | -1.2 | 30 | Joshua Sinclair (ALP) | Flinders (Vic) (11.8) | Rural | 25.2 | 25.5 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 38.2 | -2.1 | 31 | Rupert Evans (ALP) | Aston (Vic) (8.2) | Outer Metro | 32.6 | 30.6 | 2.1 | -1.5 | 41.8 | -7.3 | 32 | Cathy Farrell (ALP) | Casey (Vic) (7.2) | Outer Metro | 27.9 | 25.9 | 1.9 | -1.7 | 42.8 | -4.9 | 33 | Daron Keogh (ALP) vacant seat | Durack (WA) (4.0) | Rural | 20.3 | 22.1 | -1.8 | -1.7 | 0.0 | NA | 34 | Michael Pilbrow (ALP) vacant seat | Hume (NSW) (11.5) | Rural | 26.1 | 24.7 | 1.4 | -1.8 | 38.5 | -2.6 | 35 | Peter Scaysbrook (ALP) | Cook (NSW) (16.4) | Inner Metro | 24.8 | 22.7 | 2.1 | -1.8 | 33.7 | -4.1 | 36 | John Kennedy (ALP) | Kooyong (Vic) (11.1) | Inner Metro | 22.4 | 20.6 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 38.9 | -3.0 | 37 | Steve McMahon (ALP) vacant seat | Barton (NSW) (0.3) [ch13] | Inner Metro | 40.4 | 38.5 | 2.0 | -1.9 | 49.7 | -6.8 | 38 | Bronwyn Taha (ALP) | Dawson (Qld) (7.6) | Rural | 29.7 | 29.0 | 0.7 | -1.9 | 42.4 | -5.1 | 39 | Jules Zanetti (ALP) | Warringah (NSW) (15.4) | Inner Metro | 19.3 | 17.3 | 2.0 | -1.9 | 34.7 | -2.2 | 40 | Sonya Kilkenny (ALP) | Dunkley (Vic) (5.6) | Outer Metro | 30.9 | 29.3 | 1.6 | -2.0 | 44.4 | -3.7 | 41 | Rod Higgins (ALP) | Murray (Vic) (20.9) | Rural | 20.7 | 21.7 | -0.9 | -2.0 | 29.1 | -1.5 | 42 | Tristan Cockman (ALP) | Cowan (WA) (7.5) | Outer Metro | 32.3 | 30.2 | 2.1 | -2.1 | 42.5 | -0.8 | 43 | Daryl Tan (ALP) | Curtin (WA) (17.4) | Inner Metro | 17.9 | 15.8 | 2.1 | -2.1 | 32.6 | -1.4 | 44 | Joanne Ryan (ALP) vacant seat | Lalor (Vic) (12.2) | Outer Metro | 45.2 | 43.9 | 1.3 | -2.3 | 62.2 | -9.7 | 45 | Jason Lawrance (ALP) vacant seat | Moore (WA) (11.9) | Outer Metro | 26.0 | 24.1 | 1.9 | -2.3 | 38.1 | -0.8 | 46 | Norah Fahy (ALP) | Mayo (SA) (12.5) | Rural | 21.1 | 13.4 | 7.8 | -2.3 | 37.5 | -5.2 | 47 | Adrian Evans (ALP) | Hasluck (WA) (4.9) | Outer Metro | 32.7 | 30.9 | 1.8 | -2.4 | 45.1 | -3.9 | 48 | John Bissett (ALP) | Swan (WA) (6.5) | Inner Metro | 30.6 | 28.8 | 1.8 | -2.4 | 43.5 | -3.4 | 49 | Lydia Senior (ALP) vacant seat | Mallee (Vic) (6.2) | Rural | 17.5 | 18.8 | -1.3 | -2.4 | 0.0 | NA | 50 | Anthony Naus (ALP) | McMillan (Vic) (11.9) | Rural | 25.1 | 26.5 | -1.5 | -2.6 | 38.1 | -7.9 | 51 | Manoj Kumar (ALP) | Menzies (Vic) (14.5) | Outer Metro | 25.7 | 24.8 | 0.9 | -2.7 | 35.6 | -5.2 | 52 | Ian Fulton (ALP) | Macarthur (NSW) (11.4) | Outer Metro | 30.6 | 29.6 | 1.1 | -2.8 | 38.6 | -8.5 | 53 | Cathy O'Toole (ALP) | Herbert (Qld) (6.2) | Provincial | 29.4 | 29.1 | 0.3 | -2.8 | 43.8 | -3.7 | 54 | Luke Willis (ALP) | Tangney (WA) (14.7) | Inner Metro | 24.3 | 23.0 | 1.4 | -2.8 | 35.3 | -2.4 | 55 | Bay Marshall (ALP) | Paterson (NSW) (9.8) | Rural | 29.6 | 29.3 | 0.3 | -2.9 | 40.2 | -4.2 | 56 | Troy Murray (ALP) | Groom (Qld) (16.5) | Provincial | 22.1 | 21.9 | 0.2 | -2.9 | 33.5 | 3.0 | 57 | Annabel Digance (ALP) | Boothby (SA) (7.1) | Outer Metro | 30.8 | 19.2 | 11.6 | -3.0 | 42.9 | -6.5 | 58 | Leanne Donaldson (ALP) vacant seat | Hinkler (Qld) (9.0) | Rural | 27.6 | 28.1 | -0.5 | -3.1 | 41.0 | 1.3 | 59 | Michael Caisley (ALP) | Longman (Qld) (6.9) | Rural | 30.7 | 31.4 | -0.7 | -3.3 | 43.1 | -4.8 | 60 | Jess Jennings (ALP) | Calare (NSW) (16.0) | Rural | 25.4 | 25.5 | -0.1 | -3.3 | 34.0 | -5.3 | 61 | Sharon Murakami (ALP) | Wright (Qld) (11.8) | Rural | 21.4 | 22.1 | -0.7 | -3.3 | 38.2 | -1.5 | 62 | Emma McBride (ALP) vacant seat | Dobell (NSW) (0.7) [ch13] | Provincial | 35.1 | 34.7 | 0.5 | -3.4 | 49.3 | -5.5 | 63 | Madeleine West (ALP) vacant seat | Pearce (WA) (8.1) | Provincial | 25.9 | 25.1 | 0.8 | -3.4 | 41.9 | 0.9 | 64 | Chris Hedge (ALP) | Mackellar (NSW) (18.8) | Outer Metro | 17.2 | 16.7 | 0.5 | -3.4 | 31.2 | -3.1 | 65 | Lucy Stanton (ALP) | Wide Bay (Qld) (13.2) | Rural | 20.7 | 21.6 | -0.9 | -3.5 | 36.8 | 2.8 | 66 | Nicole Lessio (ALP) | Fadden (Qld) (14.4) | Outer Metro | 22.2 | 22.7 | -0.5 | -3.6 | 35.6 | -0.2 | 67 | Jason Munro (ALP) | Moncrieff (Qld) (18.0) | Provincial | 20.8 | 21.5 | -0.7 | -3.8 | 32.1 | -0.5 | 68 | Gail Hislop (ALP) | McPherson (Qld) (13.0) | Provincial | 22.8 | 23.6 | -0.8 | -3.9 | 37.0 | -2.7 | 69 | Dan Caddy (ALP) | Stirling (WA) (10.3) | Inner Metro | 28.3 | 28.1 | 0.2 | -4.0 | 39.7 | -4.5 | 70 | Michael Stove (ALP) | Berowra (NSW) (19.1) | Outer Metro | 18.9 | 19.0 | -0.1 | -4.0 | 30.9 | -2.8 | 71 | Ben Browne (ALP) | Grey (SA) (13.5) | Rural | 27.3 | 21.3 | 6.0 | -4.1 | 36.5 | -1.5 | 72 | Jeff McNeill (ALP) | Gippsland (Vic) (15.8) | Rural | 23.2 | 26.2 | -3.0 | -4.1 | 34.2 | -4.8 | 73 | Bill Gissane (ALP) vacant seat | Fisher (Qld) (4.1) | Provincial | 21.3 | 22.3 | -1.0 | -4.1 | 40.3 | -5.0 | 74 | Rick Sarre (ALP) | Sturt (SA) (10.1) | Inner Metro | 28.9 | 18.5 | 10.4 | -4.2 | 39.9 | -6.7 | 75 | Andrew Punch (ALP) | Mitchell (NSW) (22.1) | Outer Metro | 20.5 | 20.8 | -0.3 | -4.2 | 27.9 | -5.0 | 76 | Chris Haviland (ALP) | Bradfield (NSW) (20.8) | Inner Metro | 16.6 | 16.9 | -0.3 | -4.2 | 29.2 | -2.9 | 77 | Alfredo Navarro (ALP) | Cowper (NSW) (11.7) | Rural | 25.4 | 26.5 | -1.1 | -4.3 | 38.3 | -2.5 | 78 | Brendan Byron (ALP) | Parkes (NSW) (22.4) | Rural | 20.8 | 21.9 | -1.1 | -4.3 | 27.7 | -2.8 | 79 | Peter Hayes (ALP) | North Sydney (NSW) (15.9) | Inner Metro | 20.0 | 20.5 | -0.5 | -4.4 | 34.1 | -1.5 | 80 | Di Smith (ALP) | Wentworth (NSW) (17.7) | Inner Metro | 19.4 | 20.1 | -0.7 | -4.6 | 32.3 | -2.4 | 81 | Gavin Hickey (ALP) | Farrer (NSW) (17.4) | Rural | 23.8 | 25.2 | -1.5 | -4.7 | 32.6 | -2.0 | 82 | Joanne Dean (ALP) | Canning (WA) (11.8) | Outer Metro | 26.6 | 27.2 | -0.6 | -4.8 | 38.2 | -9.4 | 83 | Nick Cedric-thompson (ALP) | Maranoa (Qld) (22.3) | Rural | 16.3 | 18.7 | -2.4 | -5.0 | 27.7 | 2.1 | 84 | Peter Alley (ALP) vacant seat | Lyne (NSW) (14.8) [ch13] | Rural | 21.3 | 23.6 | -2.3 | -5.5 | 35.2 | -2.6 | 85 | Tim Kurylowicz (ALP) | Riverina (NSW) (21.2) | Rural | 20.4 | 23.0 | -2.6 | -5.8 | 28.8 | -3.0 | 86 | Elaine Hughes (ALP) vacant seat | Fairfax (Qld) (4.0) [ch13] | Rural | 18.2 | 21.5 | -3.3 | -5.9 | 0.0 | NA | 87 | Cath Bowtell (ALP) | Melbourne (Vic) (5.3) | Inner Metro | 27.0 | 29.4 | -2.4 | -6.0 | 0.0 | NA | 88 | Phil Golding (ALP) vacant seat | Barker (SA) (16.6) | Rural | 18.4 | 14.7 | 3.6 | -6.5 | 33.5 | -3.4 | 89 | Andrew Turnour (ALP) | Kennedy (Qld) (0.3) | Rural | 16.4 | 21.9 | -5.5 | -8.1 | 0.0 | NA | 90 | Robyn Walsh (ALP) | Indi (Vic) (0.3) | Rural | 11.7 | 23.0 | -11.3 | -12.4 | 0.0 | NA | 91 | Stephen Hewitt (ALP) vacant seat | New England (NSW) (14.5) [ch13] | Rural | 11.9 | 22.0 | -10.1 | -13.3 | 0.0 | NA | 92 | Jane Austin (ALP) vacant seat | Denison (Tas) (15.5) | Inner Metro | 24.8 | 35.7 | -10.9 | -13.4 | 0.0 | NA |
| Adjusted column is the "diff" figure minus (the average of the average of sitting MPs in that region and the average of non-sitting MPs in that region for that party). Region is by state, AEC rural versus non-rural. Non-major party seats are excluded from the average calculation. | On current 2013 boundaries. AEC geographic categories rural, provincial, outer metropolitan, inner metropolitan. Margins for non-major party MPs are two-candidate preferred; swings all two-party-preferred, positive to ALP, negative to Coalition. [ch13] indicates seat changed hands at 2013 election, - is Labor to Coalition, + Coalition to Labor, O Labor to Greens or Independent. |