Malcolm Mackerras table

Per Cent Share of Two-Party Preferred Votes for Defeated Governments - 1975 to 2008

Election

Date

Government defeated

% Share 2PPV

% Adverse swing

Northern Territory

18 August 2001

Non-Labor (Burke)

51.9

6.0

New South Wales

25 March 1995

Non-Labor (Fahey)

51.0

1.5

South Australia

9 February 2002

Non-Labor (Kerin)

50.9

0.6

Victoria

18 September 1999

Non-Labor (Kennett)

49.8

3.7

Queensland

13 June 1998

Non-Labor (Borbidge)

48.9

4.4

New South Wales

1 May 1976

Non-Labor (Willis)

48.4

3.2

South Australia

6 November 1982

Non-Labor (Tonkin)

48.4

6.6

Western Australia

6 September 2008

Labor (Carpenter)

48.1

4.2

Western Australia

10 February 2001

Non-Labor (Court)

47.4

7.8

Federal

24 November 2007

Non-Labor (Howard)

47.3

5.4

Federal

5 March 1983

Non-Labor (Fraser)

46.8

3.6

Queensland*

15 July 1995

Labor (Goss)

46.7

7.1

Federal

2 March 1996

Labor (Keating)

46.4

5.1

Victoria

3 April 1982

Non-Labor (Thompson)

46.2

4.5

Queensland

2 December 1989

Non-Labor (Cooper)

45.8

8.3

Western Australia

19 February 1983

Non-Labor (O’Connor)

45.5

6.0

South Australia

15 September 1979

Labor (Corcoran)

45.0

8.4

Western Australia

6 February 1993

Labor (Lawrence)

44.8

2.7

Federal

13 December  1975

Labor (Whitlam)

44.3

7.4

New South Wales

19 March 1988

Labor (Unsworth)

44.2

8.3

Victoria

3 October 1992

Labor (Kirner)

43.7

5.8

South Australia

11 December 1993

Labor (Arnold)

39.1

8.9

*   Although the change of government actually took place on 19 February 1996 I consider that the Goss Government was defeated at the general election on 15 July 1995. If Mundingburra had gone the other way at the general election Borbidge would have been sworn in as Premier in August 1996. Consequently I think of the general election as having had a ‘cliffhanger’ period of some six months - Malcolm Mackerras.

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