Electorates by decade swing

Two party preferred aggregate swings from the 1993 election result to that in 2001. 

On each line is the seat name, state, current margin, AEC Geographic category and ten year swing.

This is from Keating's final 1993 win to last year's result. Seats at the top of the table were biggest movers to the Coalition. (movement in purple). At bottom are those that have moved to the ALP; their numbers are green.

Seats that have changed hands in last decade begin with an asterisk *.

Labor's 1993 result was excellent, they emerged with 33 out of 50 seats (they hold 19 there today). So NSW predominates the top, including the outer suburban terrible trio of Hughes, Lindsay and Macarthur. But notice that the change is a state rather than specifically Sydney phenomenon.

Of the few that have moved towards Labor (at bottom), Tasmania and, to a lesser extent Victoria and WA, are over-represented.

Click any seat 

Adjustments made for redistributions

 

*Hughes (NSW) 10.4 o 16.2
*Macarthur (NSW) 7.0 o 15.6
*Gilmore (NSW) 14.6 r 15.1
*Lindsay (NSW) 5.5 o 14.9
*Robertson (NSW) 7.0 p 12.5
*Kalgoorlie (WA) 4.4 r 11.6
Cook (NSW) 14.0 i 10.7
Greenway (NSW) 3.1 o 9.9
Charlton (NSW) 6.7 p 9.8
Throsby (NSW) 15.1 p 8.9
Shortland (NSW) 8.8 p 8.4
*Macquarie (NSW) 8.7 o 8.0
Riverina (NSW) 19.9 r 8.0
Grey (SA) 10.6 r 7.9
*Dickson (Qld) 6.0 o 7.8
*Parramatta (NSW) 1.1 i 7.8
Werriwa (NSW) 8.5 o 7.8
Chifley (NSW) 15.3 o 7.8
Banks (NSW) 2.9 i 7.7
*Makin (SA) 3.8 o 7.6
Fadden (Qld) 13.1 o 7.4
*Leichhardt (Qld) 6.4 r 7.3
Newcastle (NSW) 6.9 p 7.2
Hume (NSW) 9.8 r 7.1
Gwydir (NSW) 14.9 r 7.1
Lyne (NSW) 11.2 r 6.8
*Dobell (NSW) 0.4 p 6.8
Kennedy (Qld) 8.5 r 6.7
Bowman (Qld) 3.1 o 6.7
Parkes (NSW) 8.7 r 6.5
Cunningham (NSW) 10.7 p 6.3
Blaxland (NSW) 15.2 i 6.2
Sydney (NSW) 15.0 i 5.9
*Eden-Monaro (NSW) 1.7 r 5.8
*Calare (NSW) 1.7 r 5.8
Kingsf.  Smith (NSW) 8.9 i 5.5
*Petrie (Qld) 3.2 o 5.0
Mallee (Vic) 20.9 r 5.0
*Herbert (Qld) 1.5 p 4.9
*Forde (Qld) 7.1 r 4.9
Bennelong (NSW) 7.7 i 4.8
Rankin (Qld) 2.4 o 4.6
Mackellar (NSW) 16.9 o 4.5
Richmond (NSW) 1.7 r 4.1
McPherson (Qld) 12.2 p 4.0
New England (NSW) 13.8 r 4.0
Gellibrand (Vic) 20.4 i 3.8
Melbourne (Vic) 19.9 i 3.7
Aston (Vic) 6.1 o 3.6
*Moreton (Qld) 2.4 i 3.5
Mitchell (NSW) 21.3 o 3.5
Barton (NSW) 6.0 i 3.5
Brisbane (Qld) 0.7 i 3.4
Prospect (NSW) 12.8 o 3.4
Lalor (Vic) 12.1 o 3.4
North Sydney (NSW) 13.2 i 3.3
Scullin (Vic) 20.3 o 3.2
*Paterson (NSW) 1.4 r 3.1
*Dunkley (Vic) 5.2 o 3.1
Dawson (Qld) 8.0 r 3.1
Berowra (NSW) 15.6 o 3.1
Murray (Vic) 21.9 r 3.1
Casey (Vic) 7.2 o 3.0
Wentworth (NSW) 7.9 i 2.9
*Page (NSW) 2.8 r 2.7
Warringah (NSW) 12.7 i 2.7
Hinkler (Qld) 2.3 r 2.5
Reid (NSW) 16.9 i 2.5
La Trobe (Vic) 3.7 o 2.4
Mayo (SA) 14.3 r 2.3
Wide Bay (Qld) 9.9 r 2.3
Moncrieff (Qld) 16.3 p 2.3

Sturt (SA) 8.6 i 2.2
Hunter (NSW) 10.9 r 2.2
Fraser (ACT) 12.7 i 2.2
Maranoa (Qld) 15.4 r 2.1
Flinders (Vic) 7.5 r 1.9
Cowper (NSW) 4.7 r 1.7
Lilley (Qld) 4.6 i 1.7
Lowe (NSW) 3.8 i 1.5
Oxley (Qld) 8.0 o 1.5
Maribyrnong (Vic) 15.4 o 1.5
Grayndler (NSW) 21.3 i 1.5
Fisher (Qld) 11.8 p 1.4
Fowler (NSW) 21.5 o 1.3
Deakin (Vic) 1.6 o 1.2
*Isaacs (Vic) 6.6 o 1.1
Groom (Qld) 15.1 p 1.0
Canberra (ACT) 9.5 i 0.7
*McEwen (Vic) 2.2 r 0.6
Goldstein (Vic) 9.5 i 0.4
Hindmarsh (SA) 1.1 i 0.3
Griffith (Qld) 6.2 o 0.2
Corio (Vic) 8.5 p 0.2
Denison (Tas) 14.3 i 0.2
Wannon (Vic) 9.2 r 0.1
Kingston (SA) 1.3 o 0.1
Melb Ports (Vic) 5.7 i 0.1
Bradfield (NSW) 21.2 i 0.0
Barker (SA) 17.0 r 0.2
Corangamite (Vic) 5.4 p 0.3
Menzies (Vic) 8.9 o 0.3
Fairfax (Qld) 9.3 r 0.4
Farrer (NSW) 16.4 r 0.4
Curtin (WA) 14.0 i 0.5
Franklin (Tas) 8.1 o 0.6
Calwell (Vic) 15.1 o 0.6
*Stirling (WA) 1.6 i 0.7
Batman (Vic) 25.1 i 0.8
Boothby (SA) 7.4 o 0.9
Higgins (Vic) 8.4 i 0.9
Fremantle (WA) 10.7 i 0.9
Holt (Vic) 7.9 o 0.9
O'Connor (WA) 19.1 r 1.0
Adelaide (SA) 0.6 i 1.4
McMillan (Vic) 2.9 r 1.9
Swan (WA) 2.1 i 1.9
Hotham (Vic) 11.1 o 1.9
Bass (Tas) 2.1 p 2.0
Watson (NSW) 17.3 i 2.0
Indi (Vic) 10.7 r 2.1
Wakefield (SA) 1.5 o 2.2
Ryan (Qld) 9.1 o 2.2
*Bendigo (Vic) 3.6 p 2.2
Kooyong (Vic) 11.0 i 2.4
Jagajaga (Vic) 5.3 o 2.4
Port Adelaide (SA) 16.4 i 2.7
Forrest (WA) 7.7 r 2.8
*Chisholm (Vic) 2.7 i 3.1
*
Canning (WA) 0.4 o 3.3
Pearce (WA) 6.9 p 3.4
Capricornia (Qld) 5.5 p 3.9
Lyons (Tas) 8.2 r 3.9
*Bruce (Vic) 6.5 o 4.0
Moore (WA) 6.1 o 4.2
*Ballarat (Vic) 3.3 p 4.3
Tangney (WA) 8.0 i 4.3
Brand (WA) 10.1 p 4.6
Perth (WA) 11.3 i 5.5
Gippsland (Vic) 2.6 r 7.8
*Cowan (WA) 5.6 o 8.3
*Braddon (Tas) 6.0 r 8.7
Wills (Vic) 20.6 i 9.5