Kristina Keneally is still preferred premier in the latest NSW Newspoll in the Oz!
Irony on It’s time to roll Barry O’Farrell who languishes on both the preferred premier and approval ratings. Barry can’t win on these numbers. Irony off
(Oh, and the Coalition is ahead in the arcane “voting intentions” measure 61 to 39.)
And another thing: tweets to Kevin
You’d have [...]
Great news for NSW premier in latest Newspoll
Westpoll says federal WA vote of 54.5 to 45.5
Pollbludger has the info.
Newspoll says 53 to 47
Kind of snuck up; in the Oz here. Up from 52 to 48.
Like the others except Nielsen, it shows a large increase in Labor’s primary support at expense of Greens and others, and small one in two party preferred. As happens after leadership changes, whether they turn out to be a good or bad idea. (Am repeating [...]
Nielsen says 55 to 45
In Fairfax, Green vote way down, Labor’s primary way up, Gillard v Abbott preferred PM up on Rudd’s. Something like this is par for the course.
In the case of Nielsen, comparisons are complicated by the possible rogure nature of the last poll; Abbott’s net approval (as opposed to just approval) has improved. Here’s anticipation on Thursday.
Table [...]
Newspoll in the marginals: Labor gone?
In the Oz, Mr Shanahan here (tables at bottom). They show big swings against Labor – except in the one seat with an around average Green vote, Page (NSW). (The rest have low Green support.)
We don’t know sample sizes. [Update: tables now at Newspoll, 600 in each of the NSW seats, and 600 across the three Queensland ones.]
They [...]
Newspoll says 52 to 48
A reasonably happy result for Rudd. From primary support of 35, 40 and 15.
Main tables here. Also perceived standard of living here.
In defence of two party preferred
Some people say: forget the estimated opinion poll two party preferred support, Labor can’t win with 35 percent primary vote. They have a point: it’s hard to imagine a Labor victory with [...]
Newspoll here tonight at 11:30
Assuming still awake ….
Time to call an election, Kevin?
Penrith by-election today. Main question is whether two party preferred swing to Liberals begins with ‘1′, a ‘2′ or even - you never know - a ‘3′. [Update: it's about 25. William Bowe reckons this "certainly doesn’t bode well for [Labor] in [federal seat] Lindsay”, but the two things don’t have much to do with each other. Under [...]
Automatic enrolment in Vic; Green preferences
Automatic enrolment in Victoria
Yesterday Antony Green posted on the Victorian government’s automatic enrolment legislation. This would go further than the NSW act as it gets youngsters onto the roll for the first time. Also in NSW, there seems to be a possible unspoken agreement to hold off on the publicity until after the federal election [...]
Woah, Nielsen says 53 to 47
Do not adjust your sets. Coalition on 43, Labor on 33, Greens on 15. Tables here. (It’s 52 to 48 if preferences are distributed Newspoll-style.)
In the Oz a Mining industry sponsered newspoll finds the RTSP rather unpopular in marginal Queensland and Western Australia, but no voting intentions.
Tables here.
Wednesday morning update: In answer to a couple of questions in [...]