Kind of snuck up; in the Oz here. Up from 52 to 48.
Like the others except Nielsen, it shows a large increase in Labor’s primary support at expense of Greens and others, and small one in two party preferred. As happens after leadership changes, whether they turn out to be a good or bad idea. (Am repeating self, yes.)
Dennis Shanahan puts the argument, as Peter van Onselen and others also have, that primary vote and preferred PM are the only things that wot matter.
No doubt that’s what the party “hardheads” believe, but that doesn’t make it true. They believe all sorts of things.