Tis the Season to be Mickey
Check out this Daily Telegraph piece with leaked polling by Liberal guru etc Mark Textor which got a good run on television and radio yesterday. It shows Tony Abbott is … wait for it … “more popular” then Kevin Rudd in four marginal NSW seats.
Mark didn’t measure voting intentions. Only approval. Gee that’s useful. (He possibly did get voting intentions but didn’t like the results.)
It’s election season so this sort of dodgy stuff will increasingly grace our papers.
Lots of people reckon Rudd needs to get or regain something called a “narrative” about why they’re there to win the election.
Rubbish: the only narrative in town is that Abbott & co are dangerous and we government are by contrast safe and doing what governments do, which is govern. There’ll be plenty of time for wild stories from around 7:10pm AEST election day, whichever way it goes.
And media narratives tend to reflect current wisdom about how the parties are travelling – which largely comes from published opinion polls.
The prime minister’s unhealthy interest in fluff and nonsense has bored our beloved country stupid for three years and gotten his government into its current pickle. It should not be encouraged.
Tony Abbott is a “risk”
Correct message Labor. But you’re repeating the word so much it’s in danger of losing power. Why not give the tale some interest, let people join the dots to come up with the word/concept themselves, that way it’s more likely to stick.
Abbott’s task is, naturally, to negate the idea of “risk”. No-one really cares if you’re “authentic” or “real” or have “convictions” or whatever; if they’re tired of the incumbent, the main thing they want from you is that you won’t make a mess of things.
Shadow cabinet was right to kybosh his handout to stay-at-home mums.
The forgotten Rooster
Mr Oakes in the Tele reminds that Treasurer Wayne Swan is a possible Labor leadership contender (in Wayne’s mind at least) if a vacancy arises. But what about Mark Latham’s other “Rooster”, Stephen Smith?
He may be out of the country half the time, but don’t forget Smithy!*
Anyway … a prediction anticipation
My best anticipation of election result remains an increased seat total (ie more than 83) for Labor. There.
*Stephen Conroy was I think the third Rooster but he’s not a contender.